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Crown Green Handicap

Nathan Webster

Team: Eagle & Child (Rfd) ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

968

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

23

Matches Played

6

Wins

17

Losses

26%

Win Rate

9.2

Avg Win Margin

8.6

Avg Loss Margin

4-9

Home Record

2-8

Away Record

50%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
17 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

Only 17 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Boosted by the Division 1 confidence floor rule.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player4/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 23 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

24 May6 Sept17 Jun22 Jul19 Sept28 Apr16 Jun1 Sept-1259

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(40%)
29%
score-0.41→contribution-0.16
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.8
score+0.13→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.9
score+0.01→contribution+0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
29%
score-0.41→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
955
score-0.46→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.216
Sample Size Confidence
50%(17/41 matches) · floored
Rating935 → shrunk 968
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)968
Recency Blend23% (17 recent matches)
Final Rating968
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W17L23 matches·26.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Eagle & Child (Rfd) A2026Division 19090%
Eagle & Child (Rainford) A2025Division 185362.5%
Carr Mill A2022–2023Division 151420%
Carr Mill B2022Division 21010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Graham BakerH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
8/18/2026Tony MeeH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
7/14/2026Stephen TinsleyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
6/16/2026David ShawH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Mike WarburtonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Bob AppletonA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Steve DonnellyH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
4/14/2026Connor FlahertyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026Karl HoldenA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
9/19/2025AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
8/26/2025Wayne DolanH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
8/12/2025Lee DowningH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2025John MorganH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
7/1/2025Neil HiltonA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
6/24/2025Chris AshtonH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
6/17/2025Steve LoweA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
5/13/2025David TickleA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
9/5/2023George PollockA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022Geoff LambertA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 1
8/23/2022Dave EverittA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
6/28/2022Andy WilkinsonH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022Sid LloydH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/10/2022N BateA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

9losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

9

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLLLLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Graham Baker0110%9/1/2026
Tony Mee0110%8/18/2026
Stephen Tinsley0110%7/14/2026
David Shaw0110%6/16/2026
Mike Warburton0110%6/9/2026
Bob Appleton0110%5/5/2026
Steve Donnelly0110%4/28/2026
Connor Flaherty0110%4/14/2026
Karl Holden0110%4/7/2026
Absent101100%9/19/2025
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)9/19/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Bob Appleton (-18)5/5/2026
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
36% → 17%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
94523 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-811% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-936% win rate

By Division

Division 16-16 (27%)
Division 20-1 (0%)
Division 127.3%
6W·16L·22 played
Division 20%
0W·1L·1 played

Debut

May 10, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (4.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.8 (23 total)

Seasons

2022202320252026